Why the Georgia Runoff Matters (and Who Will Win It)

After some soccer to distract us from politics, today politics returns to center stage. Like some horror movie, the midterms are back from the dead for one last dramatic moment. (Just when you thought it was safe to go outside, District of Columbia Pictures presents... "Georgia Runoff III: Republicans' Revenge"!) Once again, a Georgia runoff… Continue reading Why the Georgia Runoff Matters (and Who Will Win It)

Democrats 2024: An Unranked Top Ten

That's right. The Microsoft Paint artwork is back, baby! Last post, I categorized a few dozen fringe contenders for the 2024 Democratic nomination, but I left you on a cliffhanger: the top ten. Below, I have that top ten. Please note that these are listed alphabetically. It's far too early for a ranking. 1. Joe… Continue reading Democrats 2024: An Unranked Top Ten

A Categorized, Non-Power Ranked List of Potential 2024 Democrats

After the midterm elections, I wasted no time pivoting to the 2024 presidential election, which is hopefully one of only a few things I have in common with Donald Trump. I first considered the looming Republican civil war between Trump and DeSantis, and then last week I evaluated potential 2024 campaigns from President Biden and… Continue reading A Categorized, Non-Power Ranked List of Potential 2024 Democrats

The 2022 Election is Over. The 2024 Election Now Begins. (Sorry.)

Are you ready for some presidential politics for America?? Because with Donald Trump's looming "very big announcement," it's getting to be that time! The 2022 Midterms took an extra week, but it looks like they're finally wrapping up; Democrats have kept the Senate, and Republicans still look like they'll take a narrow advantage in the… Continue reading The 2022 Election is Over. The 2024 Election Now Begins. (Sorry.)

Midterms 2022: The Day After

How much sleep did you get? I didn't get much. Sure, I turned the TV off before 11... but that phone was never too far or off for too long. Since my coffee hasn't counteracted this sleep loss, this post might be messy, but I'm rushing it out to you during study hall. Here are… Continue reading Midterms 2022: The Day After

Midterms 2022: Final Predictions

Happy Election Day, dear readers! No matter who you vote for, make sure you vote. A healthy democratic republic relies on input from the public. Plus, maybe more importantly, if you don't vote you don't get to complain for the next two years. I swear I will enforce this moratorium. This afternoon I'll be voting… Continue reading Midterms 2022: Final Predictions

Two Days Out: A Senate Deep Dive

Barring a realistic Democratic surprise on the level of, I don't know, Donald Trump becoming president of the United States or something, the Republicans are about to win back control of the House of Representatives. The Senate picture is cloudier, however, and today will be my last deep dive into the chamber before I lock… Continue reading Two Days Out: A Senate Deep Dive

How the Democrats (Might) Win

FiveThirtyEight forecasts the Republican Party is 85% likely to win the House of Representatives. That's about a 5-in-6 chance. Inversely, Democrats have a 1-in-6 chance of winning. That's about the likelihood of rolling a certain number on a typical die. Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight also forecasts Republicans have become the favorites in the Senate, and are in… Continue reading How the Democrats (Might) Win

Six Days Out: Closing in on a House Prediction

The end is in sight! November 8 is less than a week away! You're going to make it. My final 2022 Midterms prediction for both chambers will come on Tuesday's Election Day. In order to keep that post reasonably sized, I'll separate my final deep analyses of the House (today) and the Senate (I think… Continue reading Six Days Out: Closing in on a House Prediction

PPFA Learns From Its Mistakes (Maybe)

Since starting this website in 2015, I've made my fair share of predictions. Some of them have been right. Some have been wrong. With the midterms just eight days away, another set of predictions looms. Before I lock them in, I thought I might be able to learn from past mistakes and potentially implement those… Continue reading PPFA Learns From Its Mistakes (Maybe)