It's been 36 hours since Donald Trump won the Iowa Caucuses, and we've had some developments. One is that we've lost another candidate. After a less than ideal 0.2% of the vote in the Iowa caucuses, former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson has dropped out of the race. Something about finishing sixth in a field with… Continue reading Hutchinson Out of Race, Haley Out of Debate
If Donald Trump loses tonight's Iowa caucuses, it will be the biggest upset in presidential election history. Nothing would come close. I considered writing a few thousand words proving it, but I decided to spare you. Just trust me on this one -- no one up 33.8 points in an average of polls has ever… Continue reading Iowa Predictions & Potential Trajectories
And then there were four. (And Asa Hutchinson.) Sometimes, in order to break through someone's stubbornness, you have to show you understand where they're coming from. On Tuesday, Presidential Politics For America did just that with Chris Christie. In "Yes, Chris Christie Should Drop Out. Here’s Why He’s Not," I showed the data that suggested he… Continue reading Christie Reads, Withdraws
You know, in the middle of last week, Senator Tim Scott might have been feeling pretty good. Mike Pence had dropped out, which freed up some evangelical voters. He had qualified for the third Republican debate with just hours to spare. As one of just five candidates on stage, he had plenty of time to… Continue reading Tim Scott Out
If you're a political junky, I urge you to seek help. In the meantime, enjoy this three-day bender. We have quite the half-week ahead of us! Monday 1) Presidential Politics For America has a post! The week is off to a great start. 2) Former President and current insane person Donald Trump is set to… Continue reading Previewing a Big Three Days in Politics
The 2024 Iowa Republican Caucuses will be held on January 15, 2024. Tomorrow marks 100 days until this important first-in-the-nation contest. It's on that night that we'll know whether Donald Trump will run away with the nomination, or whether he might actually have to work for it. Between now and January, we're going to hear… Continue reading 100 Days Until the 2024 Iowa Caucuses!
I liked last month's first debate. There's proof on the internet. It was pretty substantive and respectful, with a couple exceptions, and no candidate did that poorly. However, I also thought no candidate broke out of the pack, with the possible exception of Nikki Haley, and so every candidate earned a grade within a half-letter… Continue reading Wait Until You D These Second Debate Grades
With another debate upon us (Wednesday night on Fox Business Channel), it's time to lock in the third GOP Power Rankings of this election cycle so that we can later see if the debate creates movement. This time, only seven candidates will be on stage -- and one barely -- as qualification thresholds became more… Continue reading Pre-Second Debate Power Rankings
After four straight days of posts from Presidential Politics For America, you had to suffer through a three-day break. I can't imagine how difficult that must have been for you. I'm here to end your depression. My review of the first Republican debate put forward that no candidate's performance overly helped or harmed their standing,… Continue reading Analyzing Post-Debate Polling
The first debate is in the books! How about some debate grades? Ron DeSantis: C Vivek Ramaswamy: C Mike Pence: C+ Nikki Haley: C+ Chris Christie: C Tim Scott: C Doug Burgum: C+ Asa Hutchinson: C- It was that kind of night. I liked the debate overall. The absence of Trump's carnival allowed substantive differences… Continue reading Wait Until You C These Debate Grades
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