Scenarios for the 2024 Republican Primary, Ranked

Since I started writing about politics 15 years ago, part of my success in divining the results of every primary save one (you won't believe who the Republicans nominated in 2016) has stemmed from an approach of mapping out possible scenarios. In 2019 and 2020, for example, I thought more scenarios funneled to Joe Biden… Continue reading Scenarios for the 2024 Republican Primary, Ranked


Nikki Haley 2024: Why?

If we're permitted to stretch the meaning of this sentence's penultimate word, the 2024 Republican Primary has its second major candidate. That candidate is Nikki Haley, who joins Donald Trump in the field. To find her chances of becoming the Republican nominee, one must first request permission to squint into the strongest microscope at the… Continue reading Nikki Haley 2024: Why?

Welcome to 2022. I have some thoughts.

Happy New Year, dear readers! I've returned from oblivion with a new look and more stored up thoughts than I know what to do with. I'm going to dump a few of them into this post so I can better focus on the substance of what's to come in the new year, especially the 2022… Continue reading Welcome to 2022. I have some thoughts.