It’s been two years since President Trump’s inauguration — and two months since the Democratic Party had its most successful House midterm since Watergate. Now that all the votes are finally counted, we know that the Democrats did better than … Continue reading Halfway There: After a Midterm Loss, How Do Trump’s Re-Election Chances Compare to That of His Predecessors?
(My sincerest thanks to all veterans for bravely protecting our country so cowards like me can write about it.) And that’s it. Though I missed a couple Senate races, I was generally right across the board, mostly thanks to few … Continue reading The Midterm Cycle Is Over. The Presidential Cycle Now Begins.
Okay, so the Republicans will keep the Senate. But what about the House? In this current Congress, the Democrats seat 193 members of the House. Since 218 are needed for a majority, the question we ask today is: can they … Continue reading The PPFA Midterm Preview-and-Prediction-palooza, Part II: The House
We made it. Tomorrow — tomorrow — is the 2018 midterm election. This website’s faithful readers know that I’ve periodically written about the 2018 Senate elections throughout the year. In all that time — from January 15 through last week — … Continue reading The PPFA Midterm Preview-and-Prediction-palooza, Part I: The Senate
Don’t you miss the old days when column titles were more clever? Who cares, let’s go. 1. What’s the latest with some key metrics? A. Generic ballot (according to Real Clear Politics average of polls): October 23: Democrats 48.8, Republicans 41.1 (Dems +7.7) … Continue reading Seven Midterms Questions Seven Days Before “The Most Important Election Of Our Lifetime”
Yesterday I found the Democrats still as small favorites to keep the House. How do I like their chances in the Senate? Let’s find out… The Senate Current composition: Red = 2 Republicans; Blue = 2 Democrats; Purple = 1 of each; Green = … Continue reading Two Weeks Out: The Senate
Ten Months Out Six Months Out Two Months Out October 1 (Senate) Four Weeks Out (House) I first sat down to write about these Midterms during a cold January in Connecticut. After spring and summer updates, the weather now cools … Continue reading Two Weeks Out: The House
What’s this? A Friday post? You’re darn right it is. It’s that time of year. This week’s main post was historical, but with under 20 days until the 2018 Midterms, I can’t let a week go by without weighing in … Continue reading Quick Hit Friday: The Four Midterm Scenarios and Their Ramifications
Last week I broke down the nine races that will determine who controls the Senate. I again called it for the Republican Party. (Afterward, Real Clear Politics — which moved North Dakota from toss-up to lean GOP — and FiveThirtyEight — … Continue reading The 2018 Midterms: Painting the House Four Weeks Out
Welcome to October, PPFA readers! While I adore baseball’s “Fall Classic” (especially when my beloved Red Sox are poised for a successful run), every two years the month of October gives us an even more heated contest: imminent federal elections. … Continue reading The Nine Senate Races to Follow in October