Where Things Stand Heading into Tonight’s New Hampshire Debate

Oh, you don't think PPFA can write 2,500 words on one of the weirdest weeks in political history? You must be new here. Buckle up. What. A. Week. On Sunday, a saucy Superbowl halftime show gave us a predictable reversal of positions from conservatives and liberals, with triggered snowflake conservatives clutching their pearls and demanding… Continue reading Where Things Stand Heading into Tonight’s New Hampshire Debate

WTF.

In the battle of a 77-year-old who was ancient when he last ran for president 12 years ago against a 78-year-old democratic-socialist who just had a heart attack, the Iowa caucuses gave us the equivalent of the shrug emoji. Or maybe they tried to give us a young knight in shining armor, riding in to… Continue reading WTF.

Who Will Win the 2020 Iowa Democratic Caucuses?

Can I do it? Can I be perfect again? Almost certainly not. Dumb luck, like lightning, rarely strikes twice. But it'll be a cold day in Des Moines when I don't grab a lightning rod and head back into the storm. Like last time, I think it's best if we start by clearing the clutter.… Continue reading Who Will Win the 2020 Iowa Democratic Caucuses?

Five Days to Iowa: Second Choice, Organization, & Three Ways to Win

In an effort to better predict the results and impact of Monday's Iowa caucuses, today I plan on taking a closer look at the contest's unique dynamics. Three factors in particular need a great deal of examination: Voters' "second choice" candidates are not important in your normal primary, but in a caucus those can be… Continue reading Five Days to Iowa: Second Choice, Organization, & Three Ways to Win

FAQs: The Iowa Caucuses

The Iowa caucuses are just three weeks away, but I'm guessing some people need a refresher on what they are, why they're important, and how they work. So please, let me refresh you. You probably already know what a presidential primary is. It asks members of a party to vote for a nominee through a… Continue reading FAQs: The Iowa Caucuses

A Hundred Days Until Iowa!

By week's end, we will be within 100 days of February 3's Iowa Caucuses, the first official voting of the 2020 Democratic Primary. It therefore feels like a good time to get a lay of the cornfields. To that end, today I thought I'd consider a few big questions, the answers to which can help… Continue reading A Hundred Days Until Iowa!

Instructive March Polls for 2020: Day Two — Iowa!

Author's note: This will make more sense if you read yesterday's post: Percent completion of March: 81 Percent progress to February's Visitor number: 76! This week I'm deploying a desperate attempt to reach February's Visitor count by doing one short (read: under 1000 words) post a day with a theme: some kernel of illuminating information… Continue reading Instructive March Polls for 2020: Day Two — Iowa!

One Year Until Iowa!: Five Impossibly Specific Predictions for the Democratic Primary

Sunday will mark one year until the Iowa Caucuses, currently scheduled for February 3, 2020. I know what you're thinking: "HOW ARE YOU ALREADY TALKING ABOUT THIS?!" For an answer, I coolly refer you to this website's name. If you want to be mad at someone, just look in the mirror. You love this. Below,… Continue reading One Year Until Iowa!: Five Impossibly Specific Predictions for the Democratic Primary