Six months out projection: 276-262, Clinton Three months out: 320-218, Clinton One month out: 272-266, Clinton Ten days out: 333-205, Clinton Hours later: James Comey sends a letter. We'll remember the morning of Friday, October 28 as "Peak Clinton." We'll remember everything since as "Peak Democratic Panic." Well, everything until yesterday, that is. In the last two weeks of this election, what… Continue reading Electoral Math: Election Eve Edition
There's an old Confucian proverb: "When James Comey sends a vague three-paragraph letter to Congressional leadership, all hell breaks loose." Below are seven PPFA thoughts with seven days remaining in this historic, embarrassing, depressing election that pits, as Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson put it, "a candidate under FBI investigation, and Donald Trump." In other words,… Continue reading One… Week… Left
At six months to go before the election, Presidential Politics for America projected a 276 to 262 Electoral College result in favor of Hillary Clinton. Three months later, Clinton extended her projected win to 320 to 218. Then, at the one-month mark, the projected lead was drastically cut to 272 to 266. With the three debates behind us… Continue reading Electoral Math: Ten Days Out
A Trump surprise is not impossible. Let's start with a premise: on the morning of November 9, we wake up to an America where Donald Trump has been elected President of the United States. Let's also assume there was no catastrophic moment for the Clinton Campaign between now and then. Considering electoral projections on October 27,… Continue reading How Trump Wins
I don't have time for thematic organization and flowing paragraphs. Time for some rambling. In the first debate, they shook hands before and after. In the second, it was only after. Last night, there were no handshakes. If there were a fourth debate, they might not even look at each other. In the second debate, the… Continue reading Debate #3 Rambling Review
CLICK HERE We had "A New Hope." We had "The Dempire Strikes Back." Now it's time to finish the trilogy with "Return of the Red Eyes," a thinly veiled complaint about how it's increasingly hard for an east coast high school teacher like me to stay up for these brutally late debates, which date back to… Continue reading Debate 3: The Return of the Red Eyes
It's been a dramatic week nationally, and I'm in the midst of a busy stretch personally. Let's unwind with some poetry! You might remember my haikus from the Democratic Primary. (If so, my deepest apologies.) Let's start with some more of those before entering into uncharted waters. Presidential Haikus for America After that debate, Fresh hell has been ignited. Watch… Continue reading Presidential Poetry for America
Below are ten PPFA thoughts from last night's horrific debate (transcript here), which started with a moderator asking a candidate for the presidency of the United States if he was aware he had bragged about committing sexual assault. (If you understandably need a laugh instead of a debate review this morning, I recommend these 38 tweets. Ken Bone… Continue reading Trump Pivots, Paces, Lurks … Wins?
My favorite movie, Ridley Scott's Gladiator, is mostly known for two scenes. In one, our protagonist, Maximus, unmasks himself to an astonished emperor who had ordered him dead. In the other, he thrills the crowd with his gladiatorial talents before frustratingly interrogating the audience, "Are you not entertained?! Is this not why you are here?!" With tonight's town hall-style debate,… Continue reading Debate #2: Are You Not Entertained?
At six months to go before the election, Presidential Politics for America projected a 276 to 262 Electoral College result in favor of Hillary Clinton. Three months later, Clinton extended her projected win to 320 to 218. Since then, however, Donald Trump significantly closed the gap. With only one month left, just how close is it? I'm not taking any… Continue reading Electoral Math: ONE MONTH OUT